This paper proposes an energy management model using system dynamics (SD) modeling approach. The time span of the model extends from 2003 to 2030. The Model was calibrated and used for the evaluation of six policy scenarios. Population, per capita electricity consumption, and the industrial sectors were identified as key components and used as inputs to predict future electricity supply and demand needs. Particular attention was paid, in the proposed model, to the individual and total amounts of carbon released into the atmosphere. Finally, to demonstrate the usefulness of the model, it was applied to Niger’s electricity sector. The raw data from the past ten years was used as a benchmark for the study. A key factor in this study was Niger’s fast growing population. The quick increase in population will add uncertainties to both the projections and the accuracy of the results. Model results show that by putting a particular emphasis on the national supply, Niger may be energy self-sufficient from 2018 through 2030. The model also indicates that the bond between Nigeria and Niger must be firmly re-strengthened for the latter to be able to meet its future electricity challenges. The proposed model can be used in guiding public policy in developing regions.
| Published in | International Journal of Energy and Power Engineering (Volume 3, Issue 6) |
| DOI | 10.11648/j.ijepe.20140306.14 |
| Page(s) | 308-322 |
| Creative Commons |
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited. |
| Copyright |
Copyright © The Author(s), 2015. Published by Science Publishing Group |
Energy Supply, Per Capita Electricity, Carbon Footprint, Niger, Population
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APA Style
Yacouba Moumouni, Sajjad Ahmad, R. Jacob Baker. (2015). A System Dynamics Model for Energy Planning in Niger. International Journal of Energy and Power Engineering, 3(6), 308-322. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijepe.20140306.14
ACS Style
Yacouba Moumouni; Sajjad Ahmad; R. Jacob Baker. A System Dynamics Model for Energy Planning in Niger. Int. J. Energy Power Eng. 2015, 3(6), 308-322. doi: 10.11648/j.ijepe.20140306.14
AMA Style
Yacouba Moumouni, Sajjad Ahmad, R. Jacob Baker. A System Dynamics Model for Energy Planning in Niger. Int J Energy Power Eng. 2015;3(6):308-322. doi: 10.11648/j.ijepe.20140306.14
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Download@article{10.11648/j.ijepe.20140306.14,
author = {Yacouba Moumouni and Sajjad Ahmad and R. Jacob Baker},
title = {A System Dynamics Model for Energy Planning in Niger},
journal = {International Journal of Energy and Power Engineering},
volume = {3},
number = {6},
pages = {308-322},
doi = {10.11648/j.ijepe.20140306.14},
url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijepe.20140306.14},
eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijepe.20140306.14},
abstract = {This paper proposes an energy management model using system dynamics (SD) modeling approach. The time span of the model extends from 2003 to 2030. The Model was calibrated and used for the evaluation of six policy scenarios. Population, per capita electricity consumption, and the industrial sectors were identified as key components and used as inputs to predict future electricity supply and demand needs. Particular attention was paid, in the proposed model, to the individual and total amounts of carbon released into the atmosphere. Finally, to demonstrate the usefulness of the model, it was applied to Niger’s electricity sector. The raw data from the past ten years was used as a benchmark for the study. A key factor in this study was Niger’s fast growing population. The quick increase in population will add uncertainties to both the projections and the accuracy of the results. Model results show that by putting a particular emphasis on the national supply, Niger may be energy self-sufficient from 2018 through 2030. The model also indicates that the bond between Nigeria and Niger must be firmly re-strengthened for the latter to be able to meet its future electricity challenges. The proposed model can be used in guiding public policy in developing regions.},
year = {2015}
}
TY - JOUR T1 - A System Dynamics Model for Energy Planning in Niger AU - Yacouba Moumouni AU - Sajjad Ahmad AU - R. Jacob Baker Y1 - 2015/01/19 PY - 2015 N1 - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijepe.20140306.14 DO - 10.11648/j.ijepe.20140306.14 T2 - International Journal of Energy and Power Engineering JF - International Journal of Energy and Power Engineering JO - International Journal of Energy and Power Engineering SP - 308 EP - 322 PB - Science Publishing Group SN - 2326-960X UR - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijepe.20140306.14 AB - This paper proposes an energy management model using system dynamics (SD) modeling approach. The time span of the model extends from 2003 to 2030. The Model was calibrated and used for the evaluation of six policy scenarios. Population, per capita electricity consumption, and the industrial sectors were identified as key components and used as inputs to predict future electricity supply and demand needs. Particular attention was paid, in the proposed model, to the individual and total amounts of carbon released into the atmosphere. Finally, to demonstrate the usefulness of the model, it was applied to Niger’s electricity sector. The raw data from the past ten years was used as a benchmark for the study. A key factor in this study was Niger’s fast growing population. The quick increase in population will add uncertainties to both the projections and the accuracy of the results. Model results show that by putting a particular emphasis on the national supply, Niger may be energy self-sufficient from 2018 through 2030. The model also indicates that the bond between Nigeria and Niger must be firmly re-strengthened for the latter to be able to meet its future electricity challenges. The proposed model can be used in guiding public policy in developing regions. VL - 3 IS - 6 ER -
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